Crowdfund Insider

Sweden’s Riksbank Research : AI Models Outperforming Traditional Time Series Models in Predicting GDP, Inflation

Sweden’s central bank, the Riksbank, is embracing a transformative shift in economic forecasting, as recent findings from its Monetary Policy Department reveal that artificial intelligence (AI)-based ...
San Francisco Fed

The Anatomy of Out-of-Sample Forecasting Accuracy

We introduce the performance-based Shapley value (PBSV) to measure the contributions of individual predictors to the out-of-sample loss for time-series forecasting models. Our new metric allows a ...
InfoWorld

5 ways companies can use time-series forecasting

Recent advances in AI, such as foundation models, make it possible for smaller companies to build custom models to make predictions, reduce uncertainty, and gain business advantage. Time series ...
Crowdfund Insider

Decentralized Prediction Markets Platform Kalshi Could Challenge Traditional Inflation Forecasting Models

In the evolving ecosystem of prediction markets, Kalshi Inc. has quickly emerged as a significant force, recently highlighting research that positions its platform as a potentially superior tool for ...
The Conversation

Inflation: I’ve been analysing the Bank of England’s forecasts over the past two years – here’s how they got it wrong

Costas Milas has received in the past funding by the Bank of England to work, as the principal investigator, on the project Liquidity and Output Growth in the UK. Costas Milas has received in the past ...